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  • Feinstein Institutes (opens in new tab)
  • Northwell Health (opens in new tab)
  • Zucker School of Medicine (opens in new tab)

© 2026 Division of Health AI, Northwell Health. All rights reserved.

All research

Federally funded · Active

Health AI Assurance

FDA-funded validation of electrocardiogram devices and independent evaluation of clinical AI on Northwell's own patients, before and after a tool reaches the bedside.

Pooled external validations of the Epic Deterioration Index, the Epic Sepsis Model, and the Epic Unplanned Readmission Model. Each forest plot gives the AUROC reported by every study, the random-effects estimate, and the AUROC Epic reports.
Pooled external validations of the Epic Deterioration Index, the Epic Sepsis Model, and the Epic Unplanned Readmission Model. Each forest plot gives the AUROC reported by every study, the random-effects estimate, and the AUROC Epic reports.Journal of General Internal Medicine, 2026 · CC BY 4.0 (opens in new tab)

Overview

Clinical AI is reaching the bedside faster than the evidence needed to trust it. Health systems are offered early-warning models, diagnostic aids, and documentation tools whose performance is reported by their developers and seldom tested independently in the populations where they will be used. The program evaluates these tools on Northwell's own data across the life of a model: retrospective validation before deployment, with calibration, subgroup, and fairness analysis against the current standard of care; prospective evaluation of the effect on patient outcomes and clinician workload; and monitoring for performance drift once a tool is in use.

The case for local validation runs through the division's own record. In 2020 the division tested an interpretable COVID-19 mortality model on Northwell patients and reported in Nature Machine Intelligence that it did not transfer: more than half of the patients it predicted would die survived. In 2026 a systematic review and meta-analysis in the Journal of General Internal Medicine pooled 22 external validations of Epic's clinical decision support tools, covering more than 2.3 million patients at 34 sites. No model exceeded a pooled AUROC of 0.79, and three performed below the ranges Epic reports.

The work now extends to regulated devices. Under ECG-STARS, a contract funded by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, the division is validating electrocardiogram devices.

Status
Active
Program
Federally funded
Publications
2, latest 2026
Team
3 members

On this project

Soroush Arabshahi, PhD

Senior Biomedical Engineer

Derek Hansen, PhD

Senior Data Engineer

Theodoros Zanos, PhD

Professor & AVP

From the papers

Published figures

Figures reproduced from the papers behind this project. Each panel keeps its original source and license.

Pooled external validations of the Epic End-of-Life Care Index and the Epic Risk of Patient No-Show model, against the AUROC Epic reports for each.
Pooled external validations of the Epic End-of-Life Care Index and the Epic Risk of Patient No-Show model, against the AUROC Epic reports for each. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 2026 (opens in new tab) · CC BY 4.0

Publications

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Recent

Journal of General Internal MedicineMar 2026

A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Externally Validated Epic Clinical Decision Support Tools

(opens in new tab)

Earlier

Nature Machine IntelligenceNov 2020

External validation demonstrates limited clinical utility of the interpretable mortality prediction model for patients with COVID-19

(opens in new tab)

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